Prabhudas Lilladher has given Hold recommendation for The Ramco Cements with a target price of Rs. 925 in its research report issued on Jan 25, 2022

Prabhudas Lilladher’s research report on The Ramco Cements

The Ramco Cements (TRCL) reported disappointing earnings for Q3FY22. EBITDA declined 42% YoY to Rs2.3bn, below our/consensus estimates (CE) by 30%/35%. The miss was largely due to weak realisations and high cost, partially offset by better than expected volumes. We remain negative on Southern region due to overcapacity and volatile demand pattern. As demand outlook improves for region in FY23, volume growth would come at the cost of softer margins due to rise in competition for market share and low capacity utilisation. The same has played out in FY18-FY20, FY13-FY15 and FY09-FY11. Secondly, TRCL’s earnings profile would deteriorate with increasing exposure to low margin and volatile markets of AP/Telangana and East regions.


We trim our earnings estimates by 15%/5% for FY22e/FY23 due to cut in margin estimates. Given the expensive valuations and deteriorating earnings quality, we maintain Hold rating with revised TP of Rs925 (earlier Rs1,1015), EV/EBITDA of 13x FY24e.

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At 16:00 hrs The Ramco Cements was quoting at Rs 849.00, up Rs 4.90, or 0.58 percent.

It has touched an intraday high of Rs 870.60 and an intraday low of Rs 848.60.

It was trading with volumes of 10,759 shares, compared to its thirty day average of 22,215 shares, a decrease of -51.57 percent.

In the previous trading session, the share closed down 1.90 percent or Rs 16.35 at Rs 844.10.

The share touched its 52-week high Rs 1,130.95 and 52-week low Rs 765.85 on 20 July, 2021 and 28 January, 2021, respectively.

Currently, it is trading 24.93 percent below its 52-week high and 10.86 percent above its 52-week low.

Market capitalisation stands at Rs 20,061.22 crore.

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