Prabhudas Lilladher has given Buy recommendation for Indraprastha Gas with a target price of Rs. 589 in its research report issued on May 18, 2022

Prabhudas Lilladher’s research report on Indraprastha Gas

We tweak our FY23/24E earnings lower by ~1%. IGL reported strong results with EBIDTA/PAT of Rs5.0bn (6%Q/Q; PLe Rs3.9bn) and Rs3.6bn (16%Q/Q; PLe Rs2.7bn), due to higher margins given lower spot purchase. Volumes were lower QoQ partly due to pandemic restrictions in January and were at 7.7mscmd (-1%Q/Q). For FY22, EBIDTA/PAT was at Rs18.8bn (+11% 2yr CAGR) and Rs13.1bn (2yr CAGR 7.7%). We believe pick-up in economic activity will drive growth in coming quarters. IGL remains an enviable business model with high volume growth due to geographical expansion and addition of new buses and taxis. Also, fuel economics, shift to private vehicle ownership post pandemic will drive CNG volumes despite excise duty cuts, in our view.

Outlook

Reiterate “BUY” with DCF-based PT of Rs589 (Rs662) as we raise the WACC to 10.3% from 9.7%.

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